Wednesday, July 30, 2025 - The European Union has struck an expensive framework trade deal with the US, saying it will invest $600 billion in the United States and buy greater amounts of US energy and weapons.
EU producers will, in return, face a 15% tariff for most
goods exported to the US – half the rate originally threatened by US President
Donald Trump.
And that figure could come down further, as numerous parts
of the deal are yet to be settled, officials have said.
One positive for Brussels from the hard-fought deal, which
came after months of negotiations, is that it averts a bigger trade war between
the two allies who account for almost a third of global trade.
Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
announced the deal at the US leader’s luxury golf course in western Scotland
after an hour-long meeting on Sunday.
“I think this is the biggest deal ever made,” Trump told
reporters, lauding the EU investment plan, which will mean a dramatically
increase in purchases of US energy and military equipment.
Trump said the agreement, which tops a $550-billion deal signed with Japan last week,
would expand ties between the trans-Atlantic powers after years of what he
called unfair treatment of US exporters.
‘The best we could get’
Von der Leyen, describing Trump as a tough negotiator, said
the 15% tariff applied “across the board”, later telling reporters it was “the
best we could get.”
“We have a trade deal between the two largest economies in
the world, and it’s a big deal. It’s a huge deal. It will bring stability. It
will bring predictability,” she said.
The agreement mirrors key parts of the framework accord
reached by the US with Japan, but like that deal, it leaves many questions
open, including tariff rates on spirits, a highly charged topic for many on
both sides of the Atlantic.
The deal, which Trump said calls for $750 billion of EU
purchases of US energy in coming years and “hundreds of billions of dollars” of
arms purchases, likely spells good news for a host of European companies, such
as Airbus, Mercedes-Benz and Novo Nordisk, if all the details hold.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the deal, saying
it averted a trade conflict that would have hit Germany’s export-driven economy
and its large auto sector hard. German carmakers, VW, Mercedes and BMW were
some of the hardest hit by the 27.5% US tariff on car and parts imports now in
place.
The baseline 15% tariff will still be seen by many in Europe
as too high, compared with Europe’s initial hopes to secure a zero-for-zero
tariff deal.
Bernd Lange, the German Social Democrat who heads the
European Parliament’s trade committee, said the tariffs were imbalanced and the
hefty EU investment earmarked for the US would likely come at the bloc’s own
expense.
Trump retains the ability to increase the tariffs in the
future if European countries do not live up to their investment commitments, a
senior US administration official told reporters on Sunday evening.
The euro rose around 0.2% against the dollar, sterling
and yen within an hour of the deal’s being announced.
Some facets ‘still being discussed’
Carsten Nickel, deputy director of research at Teneo, said
Sunday’s accord was “merely a high-level, political agreement” that could not
replace a carefully hammered out trade deal: “This, in turn, creates the risk
of different interpretations along the way, as seen immediately after the
conclusion of the US-Japan deal.”
While the tariff applies to most goods, including
semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, there are exceptions.
The US will keep in place a 50% tariff on steel and
aluminum. Von der Leyen suggested the tariff could be replaced with a quota
system; a senior administration official said EU leaders had asked that the two
sides continue to talk about the issue.
Von der Leyen said there would be no tariffs from either
side on aircraft and aircraft parts, certain chemicals, certain generic drugs,
semiconductor equipment, some agricultural products, natural resources and
critical raw materials.
“We will keep working to add more products to this list,”
von der Leyen said, adding that spirits were still under discussion.
A US official said the tariff rate on commercial aircraft
would remain at zero for now, and the parties would decide together what to do
after a US review is completed, adding there is a “reasonably good chance” they
could agree to a lower tariff than 15%. No timing was given for when that probe
would be completed.
The deal will be sold as a triumph for Trump, who is seeking
to reorder the global economy and reduce decades-old US trade deficits, and has
already reached similar framework accords with Britain, Japan, Indonesia and
Vietnam, although his administration has not hit its goal of “90 deals in 90
days.”
EU to cut tariffs on cars, some farm goods
US officials said the EU had agreed to lower non-tariff
barriers for automobiles and some agricultural products, though EU officials
suggested the details of those standards were still under discussion.
“Remember, their economy is $20 trillion … they are five
times bigger than Japan,” a senior US official told reporters during a
briefing. “So the opportunity of opening their market is enormous for our
farmers, our fishermen, our ranchers, all our industrial products, all our
businesses.”
Trump has periodically railed against the EU, saying it was
“formed to screw the United States” on trade. He has fumed for years about the
US merchandise trade deficit with the EU, which in 2024 reached $235 billion,
according to US Census Bureau data.
The EU points to the US surplus in services, which it says
partially redresses the balance.
Trump has argued that his tariffs are bringing in “hundreds
of billions of dollars” in revenues for the US while dismissing warnings from
economists about the risk of inflation.
On July 12, Trump threatened to apply a 30% tariff on
imports from the EU starting on August 1, after weeks of negotiations failed to
reach a comprehensive trade deal.
The EU had prepared counter-tariffs on 93 billion euros
($109 billion) of US goods in the event a deal to avoid the tariffs could not
be struck.
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